Kondratieff Spring 

This section was added to give our readers a glimpse of what the next cycle phase of the Kondratieff Wave- the Kondratieff Spring- will look like and offer some hope that it may arrive sooner than we expect and usher in a new era of prosperity for us all. We wish to remain as forward-looking as possible in the approach to our content. Why should we concern ourselves today with this spring phase when we are now just trying to survive this ugly winter? The answer lies in our own expectations and our outlook, for they are critical in shaping our individual and national prosperity. Anyone  fixated on the hardships of today is less able to forge their path to prosperity because their energies are wasted. (I can attest to this myself.)
		Phoenix Rising From the Ashes

It is my belief and sincere hope that if we can better appreciate the key dynamics of these long wave super-cycles then we can know the prosperity around the corner is inevitable. Since that very belief now seems so elusive I added this section to focus more on the positive elements of the K- Wave. I wanted to show our readers that this K-Wave can be equally useful in allowing us to prepare for good or bad times. In 2007, few were aware that a steep fall was looming. Web searches for “Kondratieff Winter” were then few in number but have risen sharply in the past year as the reality of winter has set in.

The long term prosperity curve is decidedly sloped upward, as evidenced by a chart of US stocks since the late 1700’s. It shows our wealth and prosperity does increase over time, albeit in cycle patterns that can be volatile and unpredictable. But if you were to overlay the long-term Kondratieff Wave onto that stock chart, something quite amazing becomes clear. The K-Wave has a beautiful, symmetrical wave pattern that has peaks and valleys at near the same levels over very nearly the same intervals while the stock chart slopes ever higher than the wave over time. This is because these boom-bust cycles of destruction and renewal create the means for the innovation and refinement that takes us to a relatively higher level of prosperity. We have always endured each winter’s bottom only to see much better times ahead. Sure enough, our prosperity is not evenly shared and our next renewal will also leave much to be desired. But for those who now seem content to experience tough times for many years, I would urge them to consider the merits of the material in this section carefully.

There are many promising developments on the horizon that will manifest during the next Kondratieff Spring. We can expect the dramatic productivity gains from the autumn cycle to continue as many of our budding technologies reach the critical mass needed to crystallize their effect on the masses. Some of these technologies are in the areas of biotechnology, nanotechnology, and healthcare. Perhaps the greatest gains will be made in the field of energy, now one of our most expensive capital inputs into business or residential use. The green revolution will wean our dependence on fossil fuels and it is very possible that some forms of the free energy (counter-rotational torsion waves) that Tesla discovered over 100 years ago will become available. We will now and forever live in an era of Moore’s Law that provides gains to expand in geometric instead of linear terms. Many new areas are soon set to reach the critical mass needed for those gains and will flourish in the Kondratieff Spring.

The internet is still in its relative infancy as a communication medium and will surely continue to transform the way all peoples of the world communicate. As communication improves to a point where it can have an instant effect globally, the greater consciousness of humanity will become ever more homogenous over time. Things are really getting better all the time but for reasons that may not seem apparent now because it is difficult for most people to grasp the sheer magnitude of the paradigm shift that will emerge from this fourth Kondratieff Winter. The articles in this section have been carefully selected to give our readers a glimpse of this paradigm shift and showcase just how wonderful it will be.  Such content is better digested gradually to appreciate in full. In consideration of this material, I would urge everyone to keep an open mind and allow your intuitive senses more latitude than normal over your rational mind. Please don’t let the trying times we face today block the sunshine just over the horizon. The creative destruction process unleashed during the Kondratieff Winter does have a happy ending.

2012 and the Kondratieff Spring

What I have described above is a basic account of the typical Kondratieff Spring cycle. However this next spring cycle, the fifth one in the modern era, will be quite unlike anything the world has ever seen. I suggest this because this spring cycle coincides with an inflection point marking the sharpest advance in human consciousness in world history.Thus, the economic prosperity seen in this spring cycle will be the best ever seen.

Much of the material in our Esoteric and KW Survival Guide sections support this theme and point to a spectacular new paradigm on the horizon that will leverage human harmony and cooperation like never before. Altogether, the material suggests that human evolution will expand at a quantum rate in the years leading up to 2012 and beyond. A growing number of humans will discover the oneness of the universe and the illusion of the material dimension that now dominates the present consciousness. As more grasp the “higher truths” of the universal laws of nature, truly fantastic developments are certain to unfold.  With less interference and conflict, capital can be better deployed for higher resource utilization to help the billions of people who now live in poverty.

The material also reveals that the true purpose of the Mayan Calendar was to project the progress of human evolution through a deliberate cyclical progression over millions of years. The higher creative forces have been working to elevate human consciousness for eons and we are now approaching a very critical period of this mega super-cycle. According to the Mayans, in 2010 we are now in the transition from the Planetary cycle to the Galactic cycle. In the preceding cycle, the predominant driver of human evolution was Power, and now this is giving way to the primary driver of the current cycle- Ethics. We can now see evidence of this on a daily basis with the flood of headlines trumping this theme each day. The final cycle of the calendar ends in December 2012 when human consciousness enters the Universal cycle that allows our minds greater abilities to shape our own realities. Because of these profound truths, I believe the next spring cycle will be more wonderful than we can imagine and more likely than we dare to believe.

So how might such a transformation take hold, and what kind of changes are we likely to see? I have provided a glimpse for our readers courtesy of one of my favorite sources for such content- divinecosmos.com. They have reported that many of these incredible developments are already underway. Certain powerful and high-minded groups are now or soon will be doing these great deeds:

Construction of massive free energy facilities to remove salt from sea water and use the resulting fresh water to turn the deserts green;

Paying the world’s deep sea fishing fleets to stop fishing for several years to allow replenishment;

Cleaning up the world’s most polluted sites using zeolite, an abundant mineral that absorbs toxic substances;

Use existing anti-gravity technology to provide transportation without carbon emissions;

Developing technologies that use water as fuel, convert radioactive waste into stable condition, manufacturing new elements and isotopes from cheap materials, make motors of higher power that use less electricity, and perhaps most crucial of all- using torsion field technology developed by Tesla to create free energy for the planet.

What few realize is that much of these technologies have been available for decades but suppressed by groups that would have stood to lose from their deployment. Clearly, the developments stated above are not fully possible under our present political, social, or economic platforms. But they will be soon. Just the mere reflection upon these profound changes now taking place can stir our imagination to ponder the positive changes that will mark the next spring cycle.

1. Human Behaviors Encountered During the Different Phases of the Kondratieff Cycle - This is a most interesting piece from Theodore Modis at Growth Dynamics in Switzerland. It relates each phase of the K Cycle to human behavior patterns that are appropriate for that cycle of growth. I believe this paper gives the Kondratieff Wave a profoundly more human element that is crucial to understand so we can plan our renewal.

   Modis explains here that during these difficult times, entrepreneurship is stimulated more than any other cycle phase, much akin to the saying that necessity is the mother of all invention. Likewise, complacency seems to rule during the autumn period of perceived prosperity and who would disagree that many of us, and especially our leaders, have been complacent in recent years? Modis goes much further on this, though, by relating each phase of the cycle by the actions of human’s being influenced by the universal forces of nature. That squares very nicely with much of what I have tried to express to our readers- that these times are all part of a naturally recurring cycle governed by forces much larger than we can ever fully appreciate.

   He concludes by saying that in some ways we have already begun the transition to the early Kondratieff Spring season and that we should soon see the chaos come to an end, then see a new work ethic being installed, followed by prosperity increasing worldwide. Given how chaotic things appear today (February 2009), that may not seem as likely as most would now believe. But it’s not as hard when you consider that some, including myself, feel that the Kondratieff Winter actually began in early 2000 when the internet bubble first burst. Throughout the entire decade that ends in ten months, we have seen really only three years of prosperity- 2003,2004, and 2005- and we all know today that prosperity was really a debt-induced economic mirage.  If the winter did indeed begin almost ten years ago, we can look forward to that day of renewal coming much sooner than today’s headlines would suggest. Let’s go with the optimistic forecast and look forward to the promise that tomorrow brings.
   
   

2. The Kondratieff Spring Cycle - The brief description of the spring cycle phase of the Kondratieff Wave below is an excerpt from the first article in the Kondratieff Wave section on this site. It is important for us to become more acquainted with the features of this cycle phase now so that we can recognize for ourselves when conditions indicate that a sustainable transformation has begun. Since this cycle phase is more noted for its moderation, especially in its early stages, we will be seeking evidence of these subtle features that will mark the transformation.

   We would expect these and other changes to accompany the shift:

   A deceleration in the chaotic upheaval of winter’s wrath reflected in stabilization of stock prices, debt levels and bankruptcies.

   More rational and sanguine behavior by market participants that now demand more transparency, are more risk-adverse, and work to more creative ends than before.

   A gradual increase in business activity and employment that leads to increased consumer confidence shortly thereafter.

   Moderate increases in asset and consumer prices that spur additional marginal cap ex spending by corporations that sense a more favorable environment for profits.

   Increased cap ex investment yields the fruits of productivity gains through increased innovation and efficiency.

   A gradual increase in credit expansion for consumers and businesses by banks and private capital.

   Moderate stock price appreciation that reflects the forward-looking expectation of increased profits.

   Wages and prices rise to create a new cycle of wealth prosperity.

   You will notice that there are no dramatic events that will make your head spin, just steady and moderate progress in many areas. This cycle sets the foundation for more significant evolution later in the spring cycle as these changes are integrated into the new economy. Many poorly performing sectors and companies, large and small, are thoroughly overhauled or eliminated altogether. The energy, automotive, and banking industries are sure to endure their share of this brutal but necessary repatriation. We can look forward to the day when the excesses of these sectors are a thing of the past.
   
   

3. MUST READ Self –Organizing Economy - The attached article is from www.divinecosmos.com, a site dedicated to the science of consciousness authored by David Wilcock. I regard it as one of the finest sources of esoteric content to be found anywhere on the web.  Here Wilcock comments on a video of a speech on complex self-adaptive systems given by Michael Shermer to the Cato Institute in the fall of 2008.  He suggests that we are approaching peak instability in the world’s financial system and, as in classic chaos theory, the system will use the chaotic realignment to render a more advanced system that will function better in resource allocation and transparency. He believes that the internet will be the great enabler of this transformation, allowing individuals all over the world to collaborate as self-organizing emergent agents of change for the better. I have included for our readers the entire one hour video speech given by Shermer and encourage everyone to see it.

   Shermer asserts that all markets are bottom-up emergent systems that operate from their own internal energy and cannot be controlled from a top-down fashion from any ruling entity, i.e. governments. He traces the evolution of markets and likens them to the development of so many other complex structures such as law, etc. Through this contrast he makes the case just how independent these structures are to outside forces and just how capable they are to adapting to a higher form, a better order. This evidence is very refreshing, for it shows us we have no reason to fear the radical changes on the horizon. A more refined version of Adam Smith’s “invisible hand” will reveal itself just in time to steer the financial systems and markets into a new and more refined state.

   Classic chaos theory holds complex systems emerge after peak instability to reveal hidden order. To that end, Wilcock cites many such transformations that have already occurred that were enabled by the internet. Examples include You Tube replacing TV in the younger generation, Napster turning the music business upside down, The Drudge Report trumping the large networks, Google enabling expansive freedom to pursue information, Craig’s List, E-Bay and the list goes on. The bottom line is that out of chaos new models of transparency and efficacy in execution arise to challenge the existing yet outdated models. These events have reshaped several large industries today already- TV, newspapers, recording labels, etc.  Perhaps the world’s financial systems could be transformed in much the same way from an open-source architecture process that may now be in its infancy. If Mr. Wilcock is right, the fallout from this Kondratieff Winter will lead to new infrastructure solutions in global financial markets that will promote transparency, accountability, and better utilization of our resources.